Re-Examining Central Bank Orthodoxy for Unorthodox Times: Inaugural Meeting of The Global Society of Fellows
Date: Monday, March 26, 2012 - Tuesday, March 27, 2012
Banque de France, Galerie doree, 3 rue de La Vrillière
Paris, France
Registration is currently closed for the March 27 roundtable session. Any registration received after March 11, 2012 will only be applicable towards attendance at the full day conference on March 26.
Event Detail
Re-Examining Central Bank Orthodoxy for Unorthodox Times: Inaugural Meeting of The Global Society of Fellows
Join GIC and the Banque de France for the first program in our 2012 Abroad series!
This program will be the inaugural event of the Global Society of Fellows, a group of scholars and industry leaders dedicated to engaging policymakers and academics globally to dialogue and identify solutions to pressing economic issues. The conference will include the presentation of two policy papers, Does Central Bank Independence Interfere with Pursuing an Optimal Monetary/Fiscal Policy Mix in a Liquidity Trap?, written by Paul McCulley, Chairman of the GIC Global Society of Fellows, and Are Central Banks Innocent Bystanders in Wealth and Income Distribution Outcomes?, written by John Silvia, Chief Economist for Wells Fargo.
Agenda
Monday, March 26th: Full Day Conference
Banque de France, Galerie dorée • Guests enter at 3 rue de La Vrillière
8:30 am – 9:00 am Registration
9:00 am – 9:15 am Welcome
Christian Noyer, Governor, Banque de France
David Kotok, CIO, Cumberland Advisors & GIC Vice Chair
9:15 am – 9:30 am Induction Ceremony – GIC Global Society of Fellows
Paul McCulley, Chair, Global Society of Fellows
John Silvia, Chief Economist, Wells Fargo
9:30 am – 10:30 am Session I: “Does Central Bank Independence Frustrate the Optimal Fiscal-Monetary Policy Mix in a Liquidity Trap?”
Moderator: Consuelo Mack, Anchor and Managing Editor, Consuelo Mack WealthTrack
Author: Paul McCulley, Chair, Global Society of Fellows
Co-Author: Zoltan Pozsar, Visiting Scholar, International Monetary Fund
Discussant: Martin Sandbu, Economics Leader Writer, Financial Times
10:30 am – 10:45 am Coffee Break
10:45 am – 11:45 am Session II: “Are Central Banks Innocent Bystanders in Wealth and Income Distribution
Outcomes?”
Moderator: Mike McKee, Economics Editor, Bloomberg
Author: John Silvia, Chief Economist, Wells Fargo
Co-Author: Olivier Coibion, Assistant Professor, College of William and Mary
Discussant: Pierre Jaillet, Director General, Economics and International Relations, Banque de France
11:45 am – 12:00 pm Coffee Break
12:00 pm – 12:30 pm Keynote, “Time Travel in the Minsky Moment”
Bill Miller, CFA, Chairman, Chief Investment Officer & Portfolio Manager, Legg Mason Capital Management
12:30 pm – 1:30 pm LUNCH
1:30 pm – 3:00 pm Session III: Monetary Policy Issues
Moderator: Julian Callow, Managing Director & Chief European Economist, Barclays Capital
Participant: Charles Plosser, President & CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia
Participant: Axel Weber, former President, Deutsche Bundesbank and Visiting Professor, Booth School of
Business at the University of Chicago
Participant: Christian Noyer, Governor, Banque de France
3:00 pm – 3:15 pm Coffee Break
3:15 pm – 4:45 pm Session IV: Investment
Moderator: William Clark, Senior VP & CIO, Federal Reserve Office of Employee Benefits
Participant: Josh Rosner, Managing Director, Graham Fisher & Co.
“US Federal Agency Debt: To Buy or Not to Buy”
Participant: Peter Demirali, Managing Director, Cumberland Advisors
“US State and Local Government Bonds: Where are We Now?”
Participant: Michael Drury, Chief Economist, McVean Trading & Investments
“Some Thoughts About Commodities”
Participant: Steve Sexauer, Chief Investment Officer, Allianz Global Investors Solutions
“Outlook for Global Equity Markets”
4:45 pm – 5:00 pm Conclusion
David Kotok, CIO, Cumberland Advisors & GIC Vice Chair
Tuesday, March 27th: Private Roundtable Discussion and Lunch
*Registration is no longer being accepted for this portion of the conference*
Cercle de l’Union interalliée
Held under Chatham House Rule, the Private Roundtable Discussion has become a hallmark of GIC’s international conferences.
Welcome
David Kotok, CIO, Cumberland Advisors & GIC Vice Chair
Session I: Designing the Brady Bond as a Eurozone Sovereign Debt Instrument
Moderator: David Kotok, CIO, Cumberland Advisors & GIC Vice Chair
Participant: Michael Dooley, Chief Economist and Partner, Cabezon Investment Group
Session II: Euro System Debts and Greece
Moderator: Bob Eisenbeis, Chief Monetary Economist, Cumberland Advisors
Participant: John Whittaker, Visiting Fellow, Lancaster University Management School
Participant: Alfonso Prat-Gay, Member of Congress and former Governor, Central Bank of Argentina
Session III: Impact of the Eurozone Debt Crisis on My Area/Organization/Country
Moderator: J. Paul Horne, Independent International Economist & GIC Board Member
Participant: Germany: Hans-Helmut Kotz, Visiting Scholar, Harvard Center for European Studies
Participant: Finland: Antti Suvanto, Head of General Secretariat, Bank of Finland
Participant: Spain: Elena Nieto, Director, CEMEX
Participant: France: Denis Beau, Banque de France
Participant: United States: Rajeev Dahwan, Professor and Director of Economic Forecasting Center, Robinson College of Business, Georgia State University
Event Location
Additional Event Location
Unable to parse entered address. API response code: REQUEST_DENIED
Speakers
Paul McCulley
Senior Fellow, Financial Macroeconomics, Cornell Law School's Jack G. Clarke Program on the Law and Regulation of Financial Institutions and MarketsPaul McCulley is Senior Fellow in Financial Macroeconomics for Cornell Law School’s Jack G. Clarke Program on the Law and Regulation of Financial Institutions and Markets. Prior, he was the Chief Economist and Managing Director at PIMCO where he served as a member of the Investment Committee in Newport Beach, and authoring the publication, Macro Perspectives.
Christian Noyer
Former Governor, Banque de FranceChristian Noyer was born in 1950 near Paris. After obtaining a Bachelor of Laws (LL.B.), he received a Master’s Degree in Public Administration from the Paris Institute of Political Studies (“Sciences Po”). He then joined the Ecole Nationale d’Administration (ENA), of which he is a graduate.
Zoltan Pozsar
Senior Adviser, U.S. Department of the TreasuryZoltan Pozsar, a senior adviser at the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is an expert on global macroeconomic affairs, central banking and finance. At Treasury, Mr. Pozsar is responsible for developing the framework to monitor risk and collateral intermediation activities in the financial eco-system and evaluate their impact on macro-financial conditions. He also serves as Treasury's liaison to the Financial Stability Board (FSB) on matters of financial innovation.
Olivier Coibion, Ph.D.
Assistant Professor at the University of Texas, AustinOlivier (Oli) Coibion is an assistant professor of economics at the University of Texas, Austin and a faculty research fellow at the National Bureau of Economic Research. He has also worked at the the College of William and Mary, Brookings Institution and the Council of Economic Advisors, and he has been a consultant to the International Monetary Fund.
Hans-Helmut Kotz
Visiting Scholar at the Harvard Center for European StudiesHans-Helmut Kotz is a visiting scholar at Harvard's Center for European Studies. He is also a senior fellow at Goethe University's Center for Financial Studies, chairing Research Advisory Council, as well as a member of the economics faculty at Freiburg University.
Axel A. Weber, Ph.D.
Former President of the Deutsche BundesbankAxel A. Weber was elected to the Board of Directors (BoD) of UBS AG at the 2012 AGM and of UBS Group AG in November 2014. He is Chairman of the BoD of both UBS AG and UBS Group AG. He has chaired the Governance and Nominating Committee since 2012 and became Chairperson of the Corporate Culture and Responsibility Committee in 2013.
David Kotok
Chief Investment Officer of Cumberland AdvisorsDavid Kotok co-founded Cumberland Advisors in 1973 and has been its Chief Investment Officer since inception. David’s articles and financial market commentaries have appeared in the New York Times, the Wall Street Journal, Barron’s, and other publications. He is a frequent contributor to Bloomberg TV and Bloomberg Radio, Yahoo Finance TV, and other media.
Michael McKee
International Economics and Politics Correspondent, Bloomberg Radio/TVMichael McKee is the International Economics and Policy Correspondent for Bloomberg TV and Radio, covering market and political developments, economic trends and central banks in the United States and around the globe.
Charles I. Plosser, Ph.D.
Board Member, FINRA and Former President and CEO, Federal Reserve Bank of PhiladelphiaDr. Charles Plosser was president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. In this role, he participated on the Federal Reserve System's Federal Open Market Committee, which is responsible for conducting our nation's monetary policy. He currently serves on the FINRA Board of Governors.
Josh Rosner
Managing Director, Graham Fisher & Co.Josh Rosner is co-author of the New York Times Bestseller "Reckless Endangerment: How Outsized Ambition, Greed, and Corruption Led to Economic Armageddon," and managing director at independent research consultancy Graham Fisher & Co.
Stephen Sexauer
Chief Investment Officer, The San Diego County Employees Retirement AssociationStephen Sexauer is SDCERA’s Chief Investment Officer and oversees SDCERA’s $14 billion Trust Fund, investment team, and investment consultants. In addition to the day-to-day operation of SDCERA’s Investment Division, he also assists SDCERA’s Board with determining the Fund’s investment policies, strategy and asset allocation.
Manuel Balmaseda
Chief Economist, CEMEXManuel Balmaseda is the Chief Economist at CEMEX, a leading global building materials corporation. Previously he served as Chief Economist for Spain and Europe at BBVA, Chief Economist for Capital Markets at BBV, professor of economics at CEMFI and visiting researcher at the Federal Reserve Bank in Minneapolis.
John Whittaker, Ph.D.
Visiting Fellow, Lancaster University Management SchoolJohn Whittaker is an economist at Lancaster University, specializing in monetary policy. After an earlier career in business, he obtained a doctorate in nuclear physics before joining the academic world in the 1980s.
Peter Demirali
Managing Director, Cumberland AdvisorsPeter Demirali joined Cumberland Advisors in 2002 as Portfolio Manager for the Taxable Bond style, and became a Managing Director in 2011. Mr. Demirali was a Senior Portfolio Manager at Smith Barney Asset Management from 1990 to 1999. In that position, he initiated a corporate bond component for taxable fixed-income portfolios.
Rajeev Dhawan, Ph.D.
Carl R. Zwerner Chair of Economic Forecasting and Director, Economic Forecasting Center, Robinson College of Business, Georgia State UniversityProfessor Rajeev Dhawan wears a dual hat as holder of the Zwerner Chair of Economic Forecasting and as Director of the Economic Forecasting Center at the Robinson College of Business at Georgia State University in Atlanta, Georgia. As director of one of the country’s premiere forecasting centers, Dhawan develops forecasts for the U.S., Southeast regional and local metro Atlanta economies.
Julian Callow
Economist, Element Capital ManagementJulian Callow is Managing Director responsible for European and Chinese economic research at Element Capital LLC. Prior to that he was a Managing Director for Research at Barclays, including being Chief European Economist (2003-2012) & Chief Global Economist (2012-2014). He was also Chief Eurozone Economist at Credit Suisse (1999-03), & has also worked as an economist at Dresdner Kleinwort Benson, Chase (1990-92) & the Bank of England (1987-90).
William Clark
Senior VP & CIO, Federal Reserve Office of Employee BenefitsWilliam G. Clark has directed the investments for the Federal Reserve’s defined benefit and defined contribution plans since March 2010. In total, the plans have approximately $12 billion in assets under management and cover approximately 30,000 participants.
Bill Miller, CFA
Chairman, Chief Investment Officer, and Portfolio ManagerBill Miller is the Chairman and Chief Investment Officer of Legg Mason Capital Management. He also currently serves as the portfolio manager for the Value Trust and Opportunity Trust mutual funds. Mr. Miller assumed overall responsibility for the equity funds management area of Legg Mason in late 1990.
Michael Dooley, Ph.D.
Chief Economist and Partner, Cabezon Investment GroupChief Economist and Partner, Cabezon Investment Group Michael Dooley is Chief Economist and Partner at Cabezon Investment Group and Professor of Economics at the University of California, Santa Cruz. He is also a Research Associate of the National Bureau of Economic Research and is a Managing Editor of the International Journal of Finance and Economics.
Consuelo Mack
Author and Managing Editor, Consuelo Mack WealthTrack on Public TelevisionConsuelo Mack has a long and distinguished career in business journalism. In 2005 she struck out on her own to launch her dream program, a weekly half-hour program on public television devoted to helping Americans build and protect their wealth over the long-term. Now in its seventh season, Consuelo Mack WealthTrack has been dubbed the "Cramer Antidote" by the press and Money Magazine name Mack "The Best Money TV Host." WealthTrack is the only program on television devoted to long-term diversified investing in all of the investments people care about: stocks, bonds, real estate, insurance, art and collectibles.
Alfonso Prat-Gay
Former President of the Central Bank of ArgentinaAlfonso Prat-Gay was Minister of Treasury and Finance of Argentina from 2015 until 2016. Previously, he was a member of Congress (2009-2013), and president of the Central Bank of Argentina (2002-2004).
Denis Beau
Director General, Operations, Banque de FranceDenis Beau is the director general of operations and a member of the Executive Committee of Banque de France. He co-chairs the French SEPA Committee and participates in a number of bodies both at national and international levels. Born in 1962, he joined Banque de France in 1986 after graduating from l’Institut d’Etudes Politiques in […]
Martin Sandbu, Ph.D.
Economics Lead Writer, Financial TimesMartin Sandbu is the economics leader writer for the Financial Times. He has been a senior research fellow at the Zicklin Center for Business Ethics Research at the Wharton School, University of Pennsylvania, and a postdoctoral research fellow at the Earth Institute, Columbia University. Sandbu has written and lectured widely on economic policy, economic development and natural resources, business ethics, and political philosophy.
Sponsors
